Another major epidemic is expected in 60 years!
University of Padua, ItalyAs a result of their research, a group of experts from He said that in 60 years, there will be a new epidemic (pandemic) of the size of COVID-19.
Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences (PNAS) In the study published in the journal, experts state that pandemics will be experienced more frequently from now on due to the increase in the population and the deterioration of the ecosystem.
In the study, major epidemics that occurred in the last 400 years were examined and the result was; epidemics were more frequent than before. Included in the study Duke University Professor William Pan said that major epidemics such as COVID-19 and Spanish Flu will continue to be seen in the future, and that studies should be done to prevent and control these epidemics.
Another pandemic could happen any time in 60 years
The research states that the probability of an epidemic the size of the Spanish Flu, which killed 30 million people from 1918 to 1920, is between 0.3% and 1.9% per year.
According to experts, the fact that the research predicts that another pandemic may occur in the next 60 years does not mean that humanity is safe for 60 years. According to the researchers, another pandemic could happen at any time in 60 years.
The scientists said the reasons for the increased risk of the pandemic include population growth, changes in food systems, disruption of ecosystems and more frequent contact between humans and disease-carrying animals.
The team also found that the risk of intense outbreaks on a scale similar to Covid-19 or the Spanish Flu was increasing rapidly. As part of the new research, the scientists looked at the increase in release rates of new pathogens like Covid-19 in human populations over the past 50 years. It revealed that the likelihood of new pandemics occurring will triple over the next decade.